摘 要:苏州是我国利用外资的重点城市,同时也是经济增长速度保持比较快的城市。本文运用格兰杰因果关系检验和柯布—道格拉斯生产函数这两个动态计量经济模型对苏州市外商直接投资(FDI)与国内生产总值(GDP)之间的关系进行了研究和分析。实证研究结果表明,FDI与GDP增长之间存在显著相关性,在短期内,FDI是GDP增长的格兰杰原因,但从长期看,FDI对GDP增长的促进作用并不显著;并且,短期内的FDI对GDP的作用力度要比国内的资本因素和人力资源因素小很多。
Empirical Study on the Relationship between FDI and Regional Economic Development of Suzhou
KONG Jin
(Suzhou Institute of Science and Technical Information, Suzhou 215002, China)
Abstract: As a focal city of foreign investment, Suzhou holds faster economic development than other cities in China. The paper examines the relationship between FDI and GDP of Suzhou through Granger test and Cobb—Douglas production function. The results indicate FDI is significantly related with GDP, and in short-term, FDI is Granger cause of GDP. But in long-term, FDI can not promote GDP markedly, furthermore the effect of FDI on GDP is weaker than that of capital and human resource in short-term.
Key words: FDI; GDP; Granger test; Cobb—Douglas production function |